I'll save
@StephenCantrelle some work so that he can enjoy all of the beers that he is receiving

. Simple answer - A magic 8 ball will give you as valid an answer as most people here. The
VIN is created during the build process (and, based upon info the last couple of days, going into paint). Your dealer will receive the
VIN before it shows up on failcat(If it actually does - there are a few that slip through). If they are proactive, they will tell you when they receive the
VIN. With an ETA of 8/4, an educated guess would be that the
VIN shows up the middle of July. But again, just a guess after observing the process for a couple of years....