@LC145 and
@foresterh,
Yes, luck will be a big part of it as raydog noted. With the shift to KFOS-only ordering, it means that dealers now have to formally order the vehicle when they receive their monthly allocations around the middle of the month. Then, if they have an SX-P allocation, they are supposed to fill with their oldest "orders" from the kdealer system (or stack of requests at dealership - either way). Prior to this change, orders could also be picked up from kdealer, so dealerships would use their KFOS allocations to get unsold orders. Now that they can't do that, any SX-P arriving is highly likely to be pre-sold if they are (1) putting orders into kdealer and (2) following directions from corporate. If someone backs out of the order, which typically happens after delivery to dealership, then salesmen typically start calling their internal list of customers until someone makes a deposit and takes delivery.
Entries (orders) into KFOS close a few days after dealer receives news. So, if you find a dealership near you that is not taking pre-orders and will let you know right away when they have an SXP allocation around 15th of month... you can have it put directly into KFOS. Probably quite rare right now, unfortunately.